North Carolina vs Dayton Free pick : Total UNDER < 140
System Play – plays Under on neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (DAYTON) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, against an opponent that has successfully covered the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, are 52-26 the last 5 seasons. Are only seeing an average of 132.4 points scored in these contests. Dayton has been very strong defensively this season and UNC has struggled against good defensive teams. As a result, UNC is 7-1 UNDER versus good defensive teams allowing <=64 points/game, after 15+ games, this season, and we are only seeing 134.9 points on average in these spots.