Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves
Free picks : Total UNDER 7 – 135
On Monday the free MLB play is on the under in the Washington at Atlanta game. Rotation numbers 905/906 at 7:10 eastern. While the posted total is somewhat low here, its is warranted. This game sets up to be a classic pitching duel with Washington Rookie phenom S. Strasburg vs Atlanta righty T. Hudson.
Both pitchers have been dominant of late. Strasburg has bee fantastic in his first 4 starts in the big leagues with a 1.78 era, allowing just 5 runs in 25 innings. He has also domianted hitters, and has had high strikeout totals.
T. Hudson has been superb as well with a 1.87 home era, and he has allowed just 3 runs in 14 innings vs the Nationals over his last 2 starts. Atlanta has hit just .236 in division play failing to score much while averaging just 3.5 runs.
Washington was just swept in Baltimore and is hitting just .230 the past week, with only 2.9 runs per game. For tehcnical purposes we want to play the under for home favorites of less than -140 off a 5 or more run home favored loss, scoring 4 or less runs vs an opponent off a road dog loss also scoring 4 or less runs.
These home teams have played under 74% of the time the past few years. Look for a low scoring game tonight.