Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles
Free pick : Minnesota Twins -155
Minnesota has a huge advantage on the mound tonight with Carl Pavano over Kevin Millwood. Pavano is 11-6 with a 3.48 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 19 starts this season. He has been even better on the road in 9 starts away from home, going 5-3 with a 3.46 ERA and 0.954 WHIP. Millwood is 2-8 with a 5.77 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in 18 starts this season. The righty has really imploded over his last 3 starts, posting an 11.45 ERA and 2.364 WHIP. Millwood has allowed 14 earned runs and 26 base runners in 11 innings in those 3 outings.
If those numbers from Millwood aren’t bad enough to have you sold, then the fact that he is 0-8 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.731 WHIP in 13 career starts vs. Minnesota should do the trick. Pavano is 4-3 with a 3.28 ERA in 8 career starts vs. Baltimore. Pavano is 46-19 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. The Twins are 39-13 in their last 52 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200. Baltimore is 19-57 in their last 76 games following a loss. Minnesota is 7-1 in Pavano’s last 8 starts.
Bet the Minnesota Twins