MLB baseball picks | Aug 11

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Free pick : Boston Red Sox  +100

Boston has been a play for us in 4 of the past 5 games and they are making us money. As a team they are more healthy now than at any other time this season and we believe that they are going to make a huge run in the Al East divisional race and the Al Wilde Card over the remainder of the month.

Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 75-43 making 26.8 units since 2004.

Play on any team with a poor defensive catcher allowing 0.85 + SB’s/game on the season and after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less. Boston is a stout 14-2 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team winning between 51% to 54% of their games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Toronto has not done well against teams like Boston posting a 12-28 (-18.1 Units) record against the money line when facing teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Boston starter is in a near perfect spot noting he is 9-1 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Take Boston